The proof of the pudding is in the eating. The goal of Positive
Territory is to answer the first two parts of The Successful
Trade. WHAT to buy and WHEN to buy. To evaluate the effectiveness
we apply our selection criteria and gauge our success by how high
and how fast our selections rise in the short
term.
The summary results are in a table below.
The supporting detail files
are available to our subscribers. Column headers, symbol suffix
explanations and other notes are on the How
To Read Track Record page which also explains the summary table
below.
How we choose
From all active issues (for why an issue would be
inactive see the –X section
under Index & Suffixes in the How To Read Track Record)
we select issues which fit all the criteria below:
a) The Detrended Price Oscillator
is positive.
b) The Moving Average Convergence
Divergence is positive.
c) The Triply smoothed exponential
of log of closing price is positive.
d) At least one of the above is a new
positive development (NPD).
e) The closing price is greater than or equal to $5.00.
Note: The Daily Abbreviated Report uses
a closing price greater than or equal to $1.00 because some of our
subscribers prefer to trade lower priced issues. For Track Record
purposes we used $5.00
How a “sale” is determined
See sale_date in How
To Read Track Record
| Period |
Average
Gain % |
Average
eDays |
Ext |
%Winners |
%Losers |
| 2009 Q2 |
10.96% |
10.78 |
264% |
91.42% |
8.58% |
| 2009 Q1 |
13.26% |
10.84 |
318% |
89.59% |
10.41% |
| 2008 Q4 |
7.24% |
3.57 |
528% |
89.15% |
10.85% |
| 2008 Q3 |
7.13% |
3.41 |
543% |
88.47% |
11.53% |
| 2008 Q2 |
8.63% |
10.38 |
216% |
97.94% |
2.06% |
| 2008 Q1 |
7.68% |
9.77 |
204% |
94.87% |
5.13% |
| 2007 Q4 |
5.59% |
6.31 |
230% |
97.11% |
2.89% |
| 2007 Q3 |
8.51% |
12.28 |
180% |
97.37% |
2.63% |
| 2007 Q2 |
8.63% |
16.57 |
135% |
98.85% |
1.15% |
| 2007 Q1 |
9.52% |
18.67 |
133% |
99.53% |
0.47% |
| 2006 Q4 |
8.69% |
17.10 |
132% |
99.42% |
0.58% |
| 2006 Q3 |
10.12% |
19.60 |
134% |
98.83% |
1.17% |
| 2006 Q2 |
5.73% |
9.03 |
165% |
98.49% |
1.51% |
| 2006 Q1 |
8.99% |
15.69 |
149% |
99.48% |
0.52% |
| 2005 Q4 |
11.41% |
20.35 |
146% |
99.13% |
0.87% |
| 2005 Q3 |
7.87% |
14.21 |
142% |
98.99% |
1.01% |
| 2005 Q2 |
9.74% |
19.30 |
131% |
98.70% |
1.3% |
| 2005 Q1 |
7.01% |
12.64 |
144% |
94.04% |
5.96% |
| 2004 Q4 |
10.07% |
17.37 |
151% |
94.26% |
5.74% |
| 2004 Q3 |
8.89% |
17.52 |
132% |
93.62% |
6.38% |
| 2004 Q2 |
6.98% |
12.62 |
144% |
93.74% |
6.26% |
| 2004 Q1 |
7.76% |
11.60 |
174% |
92.94% |
7.06% |
| 2003 Q4 |
11.93% |
17.97 |
173% |
93.45% |
6.55% |
| 2003 Q3 |
11.34% |
16.71 |
176% |
93.43% |
6.57% |
| 2003 Q2 |
17.47% |
20.73 |
219% |
91.60% |
8.40% |
| 2003 Q1 |
9.23% |
13.01 |
184% |
91.50% |
8.50% |
| 2002 Q4 |
14.03% |
12.77 |
286% |
87.25% |
12.75% |
| 2002 Q3 |
6.04% |
5.83 |
269% |
84.23% |
15.77% |
| 2002 Q2 |
3.59% |
4.33 |
216% |
86.58% |
13.42% |
| 2002 Q1 |
8.44% |
10.30 |
213% |
88.09% |
11.91% |
| 2001 Q4 |
14.09% |
13.80 |
265% |
85.52% |
14.48% |
| 2001 Q3 |
5.78% |
6.27 |
240% |
84.61% |
15.39% |
| 2001 Q2 |
11.53% |
9.83 |
305% |
81.40% |
18.60% |
| 2001 Q1 |
7.06% |
5.62 |
327% |
77.22% |
22.78% |
| 2000 Q4 |
8.15% |
6.35 |
334% |
77.05% |
22.95% |
| 2000 Q3 |
11.39% |
9.63 |
308% |
81.70% |
18.30% |
| 2000 Q2 |
8.65% |
6.68 |
337% |
74.07% |
25.93% |
| 2000 Q1 |
12.83% |
7.55 |
442% |
72.58% |
27.42% |
| 1999 Q4 |
16.36% |
9.72 |
438% |
78.47% |
21.53% |
| 1999 Q3 |
10.24% |
9.05 |
294% |
86.22% |
13.78% |
| 1999 Q2 |
10.17% |
9.08 |
291% |
81.82% |
18.18% |
That is pretty good, but we can do better. One way is to
use only those selections where RATR
is greater than or equal to 6%.
Can we do even better still? Some subscribers say if you
select only those issues
whose CCI is greater than 100
do better. Others say select those issues
whose NPD>1
do better. You can try it yourself. Start with the trial
subscription today!
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